To develop renewable energy such as wind power and biomass has become a top priority

At present, despite the considerable progress made in the development of China's new energy industry, many new energy devices rely mainly on the international market. The domestic market demand is very limited and the development of the industry is severely restricted by people. With the recent downturn in the world economy and the spread of the European debt crisis, many traditionally-requested big countries have drastically cut new energy subsidies, the market has shrunk rapidly, and trade frictions have constantly escalated. At the same time, the pressure of the domestic energy structure transformation is increasing and the risk of overcapacity is increasing. Under such circumstances, gradually reducing the dependence on foreign demand and accelerating the start of the domestic market have become an urgent task.

First, the expansion of new energy domestic market is the need for energy structure transformation In recent years, with the rapid development of China's economy, energy consumption has also grown rapidly, the total volume has been expanding, and the coal-based energy consumption structure has kept carbon emissions high. With increasingly serious environmental pollution, increasingly constrained resources, and high risk of energy security, the traditional energy consumption model is in urgent need of transformation. At present, China's total energy consumption accounts for 18% of the world's total, and its growth rate is fast. In 2010, the growth rate of global energy consumption was 2%, and China's average annual growth rate during the "Eleventh Five-Year Plan" period was 5.9%.

The new energy including wind power, nuclear power, solar energy, and biomass energy has the characteristics of being green, low-carbon, non-polluting and renewable. Large-scale development and utilization of new energy and upgrading of new energy sources can effectively compensate for the defects of traditional energy consumption patterns. To promote the transformation of energy structure and realize the green, low-carbon and sustainable development of the economy. At present, the National Energy Administration is developing a new energy plan, and it is expected that by 2015, the share of hydropower and nuclear power in primary energy consumption will increase to 9%, and that of other non-hydro renewable energy sources will also reach 110 million tons of standard coal. The proportion of total primary energy consumption reached 2.6%. In contrast, the status quo of China's new energy development has a huge gap with the aforementioned development goals. As of 2010, China’s cumulative installed PV capacity was 800MW, accounting for only 0.08% of the total installed capacity, which is almost worth mentioning. The development of wind power and nuclear power installed domestic market is also very limited. Therefore, it is imperative to accelerate the start-up of the new energy domestic market and realize the transformation of the energy structure.

Second, the expansion of new energy domestic market is the need for protection of industrial safety The excessively high extroversion of the new energy industry is not conducive to the protection of industrial safety. Once the international market is slightly troubled, it will have a greater impact on domestic related industries. Judging from the current situation, the prospects for future international market demand are not optimistic, and it is increasingly difficult for companies to expand overseas markets.

First of all, the economic needs of big countries with traditional needs are poor. China's photovoltaic industry's main export market is in Europe. However, due to the deteriorating debt crisis in Europe, many countries' economic conditions are still poor, financial revenues have fallen sharply, and some are even on the brink of bankruptcy. Under this circumstance, the government's financial support for new energy will inevitably be greatly reduced. If the government weakens the support, it will have a negative impact on private investors, and this will bring great benefits to this emerging industry that still needs strong government support. Difficulties.

Second, the demanding countries cut back on new energy subsidies and the market has shrunk rapidly. In February 2011, Germany passed a plan to reduce the price of on-grid PV, and the reduction in PV subsidies will increase by 3%. The German government hopes to limit the installation ceiling to 3GW to 5GW. In May 2011, the new solar PV subsidy bill approved by Italy limited the annual subsidy to between 6 billion and 7 billion euros, and linked the subsidy to installed capacity. Under the influence of the adjustment of photovoltaic policies in these two major countries, the photovoltaic installation market was severely affected in 2011.

Again, the global economic downturn has led to an escalation of trade protectionism. Many of the new policies introduced by many countries have different levels of protectionism. For example, if the Italian new policy explicitly states that 60% of PV products purchased from EU countries will be supplemented by an additional 10%, India and Ontario, Canada The provincial policy stipulates that photovoltaic projects can only obtain subsidies for on-grid tariffs when they purchase a certain percentage of products in the region.

Finally, domestic companies may shift production capacity outward. If China should deal with the US's trade lawsuits, orders from the United States will have greater tax risks, and exports to the United States may shrink. If the EU follows, the situation will worsen. Under this circumstance, the domestic photovoltaic industry will shift to Southeast Asia and other regions to avoid trade risks. In addition to companies such as Suntech, Altus, Zhejiang Wanxiang, etc., which have set up factories abroad, the Chongqing Encyclopedia has also recently joined and started investing in Canada. Build a component processing plant.

3. Expanding the New Energy Domestic Market is the Need to Overcome Domestic Capacity Oversupply From 2006 to the present, under the dual stimulation of national policies and market enthusiasm, China's new energy industry investment has remained high, and some products have seen signs of overcapacity. According to incomplete statistics, the production capacity of solar cells for the 156 battery module companies in China has exceeded 35 GW in 2011. It is estimated that the production capacity will exceed 40 GW in 2012, and the output will exceed 24 GW. The report released by the European Union in September 2011 also shows that the global solar cells in 2012 The production capacity will reach 80GW, and China will occupy more than 50% of the market. At present, China's production capacity has been able to meet the global demand of the photovoltaic market in the next 2 to 3 years. The demand growth rate is far from keeping pace with the capacity expansion. As of the end of 2011, the national polysilicon production capacity has exceeded 220,000 tons/year, and in 2012 the world's demand is expected to be less than 100,000 tons. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, China’s local government plans to build 20 billion solar PV industrial parks, and the planned production value will reach 2 trillion yuan. According to EPIA’s forecast, the global PV installation capacity in 2015 will be approximately 45 GW, at 8 yuan per watt. The global market installation requirement is only 460 billion yuan. At present, the annual domestic average installed capacity of wind power is approximately 15 million kilowatts, but its production capacity has exceeded 35 million kilowatts. With the oversupply of domestic new energy equipment and the sluggish external demand, it has become a good policy for the new energy industry to solve the problem of overcapacity by accelerating the start of the domestic market.

IV. Policy recommendations for expanding new energy domestic market As a strategic emerging industry, the new energy industry must accelerate its development. Under the current energy pattern, it is crucial for China's new energy industry to achieve rapid development, expand the domestic market, further reduce the cost of power generation, and enhance market competitiveness. On the one hand, it needs the strong support of national policies to expand the market application scale to reduce costs. On the other hand, companies should also improve efficiency and reduce costs by strengthening key technology research and development and improving production technology levels.

1. Further improve the subsidy mechanism for new energy policies.

The original purpose of the new energy subsidy policy is to reduce the cost of power generation and promote industrial development. The excessive subsidies are not conducive to the progress of new energy technologies. Too low a subsidy will dampen investor confidence and is not conducive to industrial development. Therefore, the subsidy standard must be moderate and should be With the dynamic adjustment of new energy technologies, only new energy technologies and industries can not be implemented at specific stages of competition with traditional energy sources. At the same time, the rate of subsidy will continue to be reduced to minimize the burden on the national economy caused by the development of new energy. The target of subsidies for commercialized new energy projects should be enterprises that have more mature technologies and can continue to reduce costs through their own technological advancement and expansion of commercialization scale. The implementation of subsidy policies requires the establishment of competition and comparative mechanisms to encourage advancement and lagging behind, promote the continuous development of new energy generation technologies, and actively create a favorable policy environment for reducing the cost of new energy generation.

2. Actively cultivate a diversified and multi-level market system.

At present, new energy is not yet competitive in the market and it needs policy support to survive and develop. The government should actively promote and guide the public and the competent authorities to increase awareness of new energy generation and voluntarily bear the cost of developing new energy. Implement and improve the implementation rules for new energy “on-grid tariffs”, continue to implement support measures such as “Golden Sun Project”, encourage new energy companies to strengthen communication and cooperation with the power system, and accelerate the start of the domestic market. Adhering to the combination of grid-connected power generation and off-grid applications, with the goal of “going to rural areas, enriching people, supporting borders, and combating desertification”, it supports the application of small-scale photovoltaic systems, off-grid application systems, and photovoltaic power generation systems combined with buildings. Photovoltaic products. Emphasize the coordinated development of power grid coordination and form a synergistic mechanism for interaction between new energy planning and grid planning. We will actively expand domestic new energy markets through reasonable electricity price standards, appropriate financial subsidies, and active financial support.

3. Increase investment in research and development to improve independent innovation capabilities.

Increase investment in funds and personnel, strengthen the integration of production, education and research, support the research and development of key common technologies, comprehensively upgrade the technological level of localized new energy equipment, and use technologies or other methods to consolidate or achieve the relevant enterprises in terms of technology, equipment, and processes. Leading position, striving to make significant progress in the core technology of new energy, enhance the overall power of new energy power generation systems, improve product quality, expand production scale, reduce production costs, improve the core competitiveness of China's new energy power generation industry, and gradually realize new energy sources. The goal of transition from a big country to a new energy source. Formulate realistic and feasible medium and long-term development plans and targets for new energy generation, stabilize investor confidence, and mobilize all parties' capital for long-term investment in the development of new energy industries. The direction of future development must focus on independent innovation and cost control, reduce costs to commercial power generation, access the Internet at a low price, and go to the homes of ordinary people.

4. To strengthen forward-looking research and formulation of technical standards.

Overview of the overseas wind power market's growth trajectory, many countries have previously defined the wind power priority access to the Internet, the government subsidized electricity prices, renewable energy quotas and other industrial planning, and then started the incubation of wind power technology. China's wind power industry is precisely because of ignoring the cultivation of entry elements, leading to the current dilemma of dilemma, the development of wind power in China lack of fan manufacturing, quality assurance system standards, the lack of installation and operation, maintenance management and adapt to the national conditions of real-time Technical standards for inspection and troubleshooting. In order to realize the transition from a large wind power country to a powerful one, it is required that the standardization work must keep up with the pace of industrial development and establish an advanced wind power technical standard system.

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